Good morning! There's lots to talk about this morning as we have the potential for our first area-wide severe weather event of the year.
Today, you can expect mostly sunny skies with high temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s. The dew point today will be in the 50s across the area, so the humidity will not be horrible.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 2/5 (Slight) risk for severe weather today for nearly the entire area.
The highest chance will be tonight as a cold front sweeps through from the north. That cold front will be the "trigger" for these storms, but it all depends on whether or not it'll break the 'cap'.
❓ What's the "cap"? Right above the surface and beyond you have unstable air. High up in the atmosphere (around 5,000 feet), you have a layer of warm, unstable air that's blocking that unstable air from rising. In order for the "cap" to break, you need a trigger, such as a cold front, in our case today.
The HRRR model (a short-range model) has a line of storms developing around 5-6 PM tonight across far northern Wisconsin and Upper Michigan. Should these storms develop, I expect them to begin as scattered storms and eventually form a line, which could pose a risk of damaging wind, large hail, and possibly an isolated tornado.
Here are a few severe weather tips:
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